Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.035365 0.038530 0.041715 0.045157 0.048764 0.052426 0.056419
2025-11-23 0.031173 0.035931 0.040876 0.046375 0.052295 0.058457 0.065333
2025-11-30 0.027890 0.033825 0.040168 0.047398 0.055357 0.063805 0.073402
2025-12-07 0.025045 0.031854 0.039320 0.048017 0.057778 0.068311 0.080453
2025-12-14 0.022432 0.029871 0.038229 0.048162 0.059504 0.071921 0.086417
2025-12-21 0.020830 0.028883 0.038125 0.049298 0.062236 0.076568 0.093468
2025-12-28 0.018387 0.026697 0.036462 0.048486 0.062623 0.078477 0.097366
2026-01-04 0.016795 0.025416 0.035758 0.048698 0.064108 0.081564 0.102540
2026-01-11 0.015635 0.024577 0.035511 0.049385 0.066091 0.085181 0.108287
2026-01-18 0.014536 0.023732 0.035187 0.049922 0.067850 0.088505 0.113671
2026-01-25 0.012563 0.021602 0.033146 0.048261 0.066902 0.088601 0.115260
2026-02-01 0.011287 0.020318 0.032105 0.047770 0.067308 0.090245 0.118615
2026-02-08 0.010173 0.019207 0.031262 0.047525 0.068033 0.092307 0.122525
2026-02-15 0.009753 0.019058 0.031672 0.048869 0.070719 0.096723 0.129239
2026-02-22 0.009276 0.018792 0.031903 0.049968 0.073093 0.100770 0.135526
2026-03-01 0.008685 0.018311 0.031813 0.050627 0.074907 0.104134 0.141000
2026-03-08 0.007977 0.017598 0.031364 0.050786 0.076069 0.106693 0.145506
2026-03-15 0.007646 0.017453 0.031691 0.051963 0.078514 0.110818 0.151898
2026-03-22 0.006736 0.016304 0.030545 0.051127 0.078361 0.111732 0.154401
2026-03-29 0.006204 0.015735 0.030200 0.051347 0.079544 0.114280 0.158874
2026-04-05 0.005845 0.015433 0.030225 0.052057 0.081350 0.117594 0.164276
2026-04-12 0.005471 0.015074 0.030147 0.052611 0.082944 0.120641 0.169353
2026-04-19 0.004577 0.013693 0.028473 0.050896 0.081528 0.119896 0.169763